Tilting WASP-12b Doesn’t Solve the Mystery of Its Inspiral

In 3 million years or less, WASP-12b will tumble into its host star. It’s not surprising that the planet will meet its end this way, but it is surprising that it will happen so soon. New work tests a potential explanation for the planet’s rapid orbital decay.

Diagnosing a Doomed Planet

Roughly twice as wide as Jupiter and almost 50% more massive, exoplanet WASP-12b zips around its Sun-like stellar host every 1.09 days at a distance of just 0.023 au (3.4 million kilometers or 2.1 million miles). If placed in our solar system, WASP-12b would easily dethrone Mercury as the nearest planet to the Sun.

Observations show that WASP-12b’s already tiny orbit is shrinking, with each orbital period growing shorter at a rate of 29 milliseconds per year (Earth-year, that is). While we would expect the planet to slowly spiral inward due to tidal interactions with its star, it’s moving several orders of magnitude faster than predicted. The planet’s motion has so far defied all attempts to explain it, and now, a new research article by Caleb Lammers (Princeton University) and collaborators appears to topple yet another hypothesis for WASP-12b’s unexpectedly fast orbital decay.

A Tidy Tidal Explanation?

Previous work has proposed that WASP-12b’s rapidly shrinking orbit is due to obliquity tides, which could come into play if the planet had a nonzero obliquity, or axial tilt. Tidal dissipation generally works to keep close-in giant planets like WASP-12b from having a significant axial tilt. However, if you throw a second planet into the system, the companion can exert a torque that could force WASP-12b to remain tilted. This outside forcing, the hypothesis suggests, changes the orbital, spin, and tilt evolution of WASP-12b and ultimately pushes it toward its star far faster than expected without the tilt or the companion.

Lammers and coauthors examined this hypothesis by tracking how the angular momentum of a system containing both WASP-12b and a companion planet would evolve over time. As WASP-12b spirals inward, it loses angular momentum. For the planet’s lost angular momentum to be absorbed by the star and the companion planet — while maintaining a stable orbital configuration for both planets — the companion must orbit at least 0.06 au from the star and have a mass of at least 65 Earth masses.

The Mystery Persists

This companion mass and orbital distance are both larger than predicted by previous work, which had suggested that a 10–20-Earth-mass planet at 0.04 au would be sufficient to drive WASP-12b’s inward journey. Lammers and coauthors analyzed WASP-12’s radial velocity data for evidence of such a planet tugging on the star, but found none; only under extremely particular conditions could such a planet exist and not be detected in current data.

Taking their calculations further, the team found it unlikely that this mechanism is at work in planetary systems in general, not just in the WASP-12 system. This leaves the mystery of WASP-12b’s rapid orbital decay wide open, and with only 3 million years to ponder it before the planet’s demise.

Citation

“The Mysterious Inspiral of WASP-12 b: Why Obliquity Tides Cannot Drive Orbital Decay,” Caleb Lammers et al 2026 ApJL 1009 L43. doi:10.3847/2041-8213/aea405