How Much of Dark Matter Is Made Up of Tiny Black Holes?

Could dark matter — the mysterious substance that makes up 85% of the mass of the universe — partially be black holes the size of planets? New research looks to the Milky Way’s neighbors for an answer.

Rogue Planets or Tiny Black Holes?

schematic of a gravitational microlensing event involving a black hole

Schematic of a black hole lensing the light from a background star as the black hole passes in front of the star from the vantage point of an observer on Earth. Click to enlarge. [NASA/ESA; CC BY 4.0]

Free-floating exoplanets and black holes once roamed the galaxy undetected. With the development of sensitive telescopes and attentive surveys, these objects are now revealed through gravitational microlensing. Microlensing surveys look for the short-lived increase in brightness caused by a foreground object passing in front of a background star and lensing, or focusing, the star’s light.

Thanks to surveys like the Optical Gravitational Lensing Experiment (OGLE), researchers have identified thousands of microlensing events. Most of these events are due to stars, brown dwarfs, and stellar remnants, but a small number seem to arise from objects the size of planets. While the majority of astronomers attribute these signals to free-floating exoplanets unmoored from their host stars, others have proposed a more speculative cause: primordial planet-sized black holes. Primordial black holes are theorized to have formed early in the universe when dense regions collapsed directly into black holes without forming stars first.

Previous research has suggested that if the observed microlensing signals are due to primordial planet-mass black holes rather than planets, as much as 10% of the mass attributed to dark matter is made up of tiny, ancient black holes. It’s an enticing theory, but a highly speculative one — how can we tell if the microlensing signals come from planets or planet-sized black holes?

OGLEing Microlensing Events

In their recent research article, Przemek Mróz (University of Warsaw) and collaborators showed that answering this question is all about looking in the right place. In the Milky Way’s disk and bulge, where stars and planets are common, it’s impossible to distinguish between microlensing signals from planets and planet-sized black holes. Away from these heavily populated areas, interference from stellar and planetary signals should be minimal, and microlensing signals could reveal primordial planet-mass black holes — should they exist — floating through the Milky Way’s dark-matter halo.

microlensing survey search area in the Magellanic Clouds

The survey’s search area overlaid on images of the Large (left) and Small (right) Magellanic Clouds. [Mróz et al. 2024]

From October 2022 to May 2024, Mróz’s team carried out the OGLE High-cadence Magellanic Clouds Survey, peering through the Milky Way’s sparsely populated halo toward the Large and Small Magellanic Clouds, two of the Milky Way’s satellite galaxies.

The resulting dataset included 17.6 million light curves from stars in the Magellanic Clouds, which the team whittled down using several criteria. First, they required that the light curves show an increase in brightness but be otherwise steady, eliminating variable stars and reducing the dataset to 2,538 light curves. Then, they removed false positives and light curves affected by imaging artifacts, leaving 308 light curves. Finally, they eliminated all light curves that weren’t fit well by a microlensing model — leaving just two possible microlensing events.

And Then There Was One

plots of candidate microlensing signals

The two microlensing candidates found in the authors’ survey. The top plot shows what is likely a bona fide microlensing signal, while the bottom plot shows what the authors believe is a stellar flare. [Mróz et al. 2024]

A close inspection of the remaining two candidates revealed that only one was likely to be a genuine microlensing event; the other appeared to be an interloping Milky Way star emitting a flare. The detection of just a single microlensing event in this expansive survey strongly limits the number of primordial planet-mass black holes in the Milky Way and, by extension, the contribution of these black holes to the overall mass of dark matter.

Extrapolating from their observations, Mróz’s team calculated that primordial planet-mass black holes — between roughly half the mass of the Moon up to the dividing line between planets and brown dwarfs — can make up at most just 1% of all dark matter. This in turn suggests that the microlensing signals previously attributed to primordial planet-mass black holes are instead due to the more mundane (though still fascinating) population of exoplanets without host stars.

Citation

“Limits on Planetary-Mass Primordial Black Holes from the OGLE High-Cadence Survey of the Magellanic Clouds,” Przemek Mróz et al 2024 ApJL 976 L19. doi:10.3847/2041-8213/ad8e68